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How To Beat Baccarat Game
Yes, Baccarat card counting is a thing and might as well be the reason why Baccarat is likely to replace blackjack as the most popular casino game. Although theoretically, you can beat Baccarat by counting cards, the edge you get will be so small that it might not actually be worth your time, considering how much more complicated than card.
On This Page
Introduction
How To Win At Baccarat
Bad Beat Baccarat is played like conventional baccarat except adds some side bets on bad beats. In this case, a 'bad beat' is defined as a margin of victory of one point.
Any Bad Beat
I don't know the title of any of these bets so will have to make up my own until I find out. This one pays on any margin of victory of one. It features five paying levels, as shown in the following return table. The lower right cell shows a house edge of 6.88%.
Any Bad Beat
| Event | Pays | Combinations | Probability | Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Three-card 9 beats three-card 8 | 40 | 20,727,962,554,368 | 0.004147 | 0.165877 |
| Natural 9 beats natural 8 | 10 | 89,717,848,178,688 | 0.017949 | 0.179493 |
| 8 beats 7 | 6 | 156,966,594,535,424 | 0.031403 | 0.188420 |
| 7 beats 6 | 4 | 195,793,881,763,840 | 0.039171 | 0.156685 |
| Other margin of victory 1 | 1 | 369,982,973,018,112 | 0.074020 | 0.074020 |
| All other | -1 | 4,165,209,015,452,930 | 0.833309 | -0.833309 |
| Total | 4,998,398,275,503,360 | 1.000000 | -0.068813 |
Three-Card Nine Beats Three-Card Eight
Again, I don't know what these bets are titled so will just call them what it takes to win. Wins pay 200 to 1. House edge of 16.65%.
Three-Card Nine Beats Three-Card Eight
| Event | Pays | Combinations | Probability | Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Three-card 9 beats three-card 8 | 200 | 20,727,962,554,368 | 0.004147 | 0.829384 |
| All other | -1 | 4,977,670,312,948,990 | 0.995853 | -0.995853 |
| Total | 4,998,398,275,503,360 | 1.000000 | -0.166469 |
Natural Nine Beats Natural Eight
Again, the title pretty much says all there is to say. Wins pay 50 to 1. House edge of 8.46%.
Natural Nine Beats Natural Eight
| Event | Pays | Combinations | Probability | Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Event | Pays | Combinations | Probability | Return |
| Natural 9 beats natural 8 | 50 | 89,717,848,178,688 | 0.017949 | 0.897466 |
| All other | -1 | 4,908,680,427,324,670 | 0.982051 | -0.982051 |
| Total | 4,998,398,275,503,360 | 1.000000 | -0.084585 |
Eight Beats Seven
Again, the title pretty much says all there is to say. Wins pay 25 to 1. House edge of 18.35%.
Eight Beats Seven
| Event | Pays | Combinations | Probability | Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 beats 7 | 25 | 156,966,594,535,424 | 0.031403 | 0.785084 |
| All other | -1 | 4,841,431,680,967,940 | 0.968597 | -0.968597 |
| Total | 4,998,398,275,503,360 | 1.000000 | -0.183512 |
I should also mention that this game also offers a couple other side bets that have been around for a while. One is the bet that pays on a winning three-card Banker 7. This bet has many names, most noticeably, Dragon 7 and Golden 7. The other is the bet that pays a winning Player total of eight; this also has many names but usually goes by Panda 8. Neither of these bets are referred to as the Dragon 7 or Panda 8 on the table, but they are exactly the same. More information about those side bets can be found in my baccarat appendix 5.
.Internal Links
Interview with Adam Daines, owner of Bad Beat Baccarat.
External Links
Discussion about Bad Beat Baccarat can be found in my forum at Wizard of Vegas.
Written by: Michael Shackleford